generative artificial intelligence It probably won't change your life in 2025 — at least, no more than it already has, according to Google's CEO Sundar Pichai.
when OpenAI Launched two years ago, ChatGPT has quickly captured the imagination of users around the world. Now, with the industry's competitive landscape more or less firmly established — many major tech companies, including Google, have competing models — it will take some time for another technological breakthrough to shock the AI industry into high-speed development again. Pichai said At the New York Times' DealBook Summit last week.
“I think progress will be more difficult. When I look at (2025), the low-hanging fruit is gone,” Pichai said, adding: “The hill is steeper… You will definitely need deeper breakthroughs.” As we get to the next stage.”
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Existing language models — such as ChatGPT, Google's Gemini, or Meta's Llama — will continue to get progressively better, especially “at reasoning, and completing a series of actions more reliably,” Pichai said. These improvements could help push AI toward profits for business users — something that has yet to happen, despite investments in the technology that are expected to exceed $1 trillion “in the coming years,” according to Goldman Sachs latest report.
But Pichai said another seismic shift that changes the way most people think or envision artificial intelligence is unlikely to occur within the next year.
Some technology CEOs, such as Microsoft's Satya Nadella, agree with Pichai. “Seventy years after the Industrial Revolution, there wasn't much growth in industry, and then it took off…things will never go linear.” Nadella said At the Fast Company Innovation Festival 2024 in October.
Others disagree, at least publicly. For example, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman posted “There is no wall” on the social media platform
Pichai said AI's progress is not completely constrained: even incremental development will help refine the technology, making it increasingly more useful to a wider range of people. Some industry jobs that don't require college degrees can pay well: On average, Artificial intelligence coaches Earn over $64,000 per year, and Prompt engineers Earn more than $110,000, according to ZipRecruiter.
“I think 10 years from now, (computer programming) will be available to millions more people,” Pichai said.
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